130 lines
5.1 KiB
Markdown
Executable File
130 lines
5.1 KiB
Markdown
Executable File
- > 很多人宁愿死也不肯思考，又，大多数人至死也没思考过。
|
||
>
|
||
> "Most people would rather die than think and many of them do!"
|
||
>
|
||
> ——伯兰特·罗素（Bertrand Russell）
|
||
- 基础
|
||
- [[思考四要素]] #card
|
||
card-last-interval:: 4
|
||
card-repeats:: 2
|
||
card-ease-factor:: 2.7
|
||
card-next-schedule:: 2023-09-30T23:00:47.077Z
|
||
card-last-reviewed:: 2023-09-26T23:00:47.077Z
|
||
card-last-score:: 5
|
||
id:: 66589e5f-fab4-4861-9f34-ef46a58eebb3
|
||
- 定义
|
||
- 分类
|
||
- 比较
|
||
- 因果
|
||
- [[决策]]
|
||
- [[流程]]
|
||
- 进阶
|
||
- 简单的东西组合在一起运用
|
||
- 关系
|
||
- 分类
|
||
- 从属关系
|
||
- 同属关系
|
||
- 相交
|
||
- 与and
|
||
- 满足两个或多个条件的情况
|
||
- 或or
|
||
- 满足任一条件的情况
|
||
- 非not
|
||
- 不满足某一条件
|
||
- 不相交
|
||
- 比较
|
||
- 约等于
|
||
- 大于
|
||
- 因果
|
||
- 因果
|
||
- 相关
|
||
- 冰淇淋销量和溺水人数，非因果关系
|
||
- 同一个原因造成的两个结果
|
||
- 误解关系 --> 思维漏洞
|
||
- 无关
|
||
- 受教育程度和生活满意度
|
||
- 维度
|
||
- 研究因果关系很难，耗时，费力，伤财
|
||
- 长期只关注一对一的因果关系
|
||
- 时间上的先后顺序并不保证因果关系的存在，时间是干扰因素
|
||
- 大多数人只相信有因必有果，有果必有因
|
||
- 二维因果网络世界，原因和结果都是多种多样的，事物与事物之间关系复杂
|
||
- 互为因果
|
||
- 科技发展和经济发展
|
||
- 性格决定命运，性格其实是过往的经历塑造的
|
||
- 时间“必要且不可忽略”
|
||
background-color:: yellow
|
||
- 我们所在的世界是由**时间**穿起来的无数因果网络构建的三维因果系统世界
|
||
- 用一维因果世界的眼光去看待真实世界太局限了
|
||
- 未知
|
||
- 预测未来
|
||
- 最大的未知来自于未来
|
||
- 无关未来的思考，根本不是真正的思考
|
||
- 亚里士多德**三段论**
|
||
- 不考虑时间这个因素
|
||
- 局限
|
||
- 仅能推导出已知，无法推导出此前未知的结论
|
||
- 逻辑严谨的废物
|
||
- 无法处理不确定性
|
||
- 形式逻辑
|
||
- 概率论概念的确定
|
||
- 非形式逻辑
|
||
- 批判性思维
|
||
- 限制：**无法数学化**
|
||
- 学校不教
|
||
- 统计分析
|
||
- 时间这个因素被视而不见
|
||
- 过去的数据在当下做分析希望指导未来
|
||
- 概率不见得高于50%
|
||
- 统计概率是正常思考的基础之一
|
||
- 认真学习，勤于实践
|
||
- 思考的真相简要介绍
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses.firesbox.com/?utm_source=share#/7000102069/courses/7769
|
||
- [[思考的真相.01]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.02]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.03]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.04]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.05]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.06]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.07]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.08]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.09]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.10]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.11]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.12]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.13]]
|
||
- [[思考的真相.14]]
|
||
- [[一次思考框架的应用]]
|
||
- 视频版本
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/f086c469-4cf7-4273-905a-1dea5f01d00f.mp4
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/d81f1c4f-1286-41cd-b48d-b525e3c87b07.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/625b3372-eb0a-4d4b-8551-64e3c948754d.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/227b07e5-49e8-40af-9b29-9f1055b30a41.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/04bc45c8-e375-4947-a8ff-57e31c253a0c.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/7fae9063-fa24-4aa8-994f-3d800a3f84fb.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/492ef33b-f044-480b-8fae-c4415662e5c6.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/80987645-1927-4f98-b84e-ff6a1d2af121.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/76bbd077-f10e-4015-9863-7464f4ef3419.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/f9ff94c7-1695-4877-9cf5-7db9fea6dcbd.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/c99f274d-c381-450a-a3d7-c5b8d81cbabd.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/436586a3-8174-4060-9d37-675ec0f137b7.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/26d8b231-7641-44aa-8d82-cc8b3065bdd1.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/98407754-0426-4769-a476-f8456cb09213.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/0eb8a2fc-6f2f-472b-b7e2-a9fb797cc22d.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- https://xuexi-courses-storage.firesbox.com/7000104654/replay/8155b952-3e3b-4cff-9524-c55cb6ff54cb.mp4
|
||
logseq.order-list-type:: number
|
||
- logseq.order-list-type:: number |